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We have developed a unique barometer to identify the momentum of various product/market combinations across the major Canadian urban centres. Survey participants are asked whether they are a buyer or seller ("hold" not an option), and thus a bullish or bearish response is obtained for each property type/market. We have also included publicly traded real estate corporate stock and REIT units since these instruments compete for capital from the same sources.
|Downtown Class AA Office||Tier I Regional Mall|
|Downtown Class B Office||Tier II Regional Mall|
|Downtown Office Land||Enclosed Community Mall|
|Suburban Class A Office||Power Centre|
|Suburban Class B Office||Food Anchored Retail Strip|
|Suburban Office Land||Multiple Unit Residential|
|Single Tenant Industrial||Hotel|
|Multi Tenant Industrial||REIT Units|
|Industrial Land||Corporate Realty Shares|
We have developed this barometer to identify vacancy momentum for Downtown Class “AA” and Class “B”, as well as Suburban Class "A" and Class "B" buildings for all seven markets. All contributors are asked if vacancy rates will increase, decrease, or stay the same, over the next three months.
The momentum ratio is defined as the largest % directional response divided by the balance of all other % responses. For example, say 75% of respondents believe Montreal Suburban ‘A’ vacancy will decrease, 17% said it would be stable, and 8% said increase. The momentum ratio would equal [75% divided by (17% + 8%)] = 3.0
Contributors are asked to comment on expected value trends for each product type over the next 12 months. The result is a forward-looking value expectation.